警告美全球法定货币金融系统2011年崩溃

楼主:gerlff 时间:2010-09-06 21:02:00 点击:441 回复:4
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文章作者预计美国在2011年早些时候会发生货币危机,并由浅入深的阐述了即将发生的危机产生的原因.08年金融危机以来,为了拯救负债累累的金融企业,美联储通过量化宽松的政策疯狂的开动印钞机向银行注入流动性,然而这凭空创超的货币并不能根本拯救那些实际上已经破产的银行的命运,反而为以后的货币危机埋下了炸弹!至于2011年是否会发生作者所预测史无前例的货币危机,大家可以综合考虑自己分析。有因必有果,因果关系是自然发则并不以人的意识而改变!
  blog.eastmoney.com/gerlff
  
  Warning Global Fiat Currency Financial System Collapse By Early 2011
  
  警告美全球法定货币金融系统2011年崩溃
  
  Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
  
  Sep 01, 2010 - 01:36 AM
  
  
  
  By: Matthias_Chang
  
  
  
  
  
  Readers of my articles will recall that I have warned as far back as December 2006, that the global banks will collapse when the Financial Tsunami hits the global economy in 2007. And as they say, the rest is history.
  
  我的读者会记得我2006年12月份的警告,我说当金融风暴在07年冲击全球经济时,美全球性银行会倒闭.除了说的,剩下的历史得到了检验.
  
  Quantitative Easing (QE I) spearheaded by the Chairman of Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke delayed the inevitable demise of the fiat shadow money banking system slightly over 18 months.
  
  由于美联储 ,伯南科的宽松货币政策使货币银行系统必然崩溃延缓了18个月法定.
  
  That is why in November of 2009, I was so confident to warn my readers that by the end of the first quarter of 2010 at the earliest or by the second quarter of 2010 at the latest, the global economy will go into a tailspin. The recent alarm that the US economy has slowed down and in the words of Bernanke “the recent pace of growth is less vigorous than we expected” has all but vindicated my analysis. He warned that the outlook is uncertain and the economy “remains vulnerable to unexpected developments”.
  
  那就是为什么在09年11月,我如此自信的警告我的读者,在10年1-2季度时候全球经济将进入一种失控的局面.最近的警报显示,美国经济已经放缓,伯南科说最近的经济复苏期望的要乏力.而我的分析是他在警告经济的未来不确定,仍然受不确定因素影响.
  
  
  
  Obviously, Bernanke’s words do not reveal the full extent of the fear that has gripped central bankers and the financial elites that assembled at the annual gathering at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. But, you can take it from me that they are very afraid.
  
  很明显,伯南科的话没有揭示出那些参加俄亥俄州每年一届的中央银行行长和经济大鳄年度会议中他们的恐惧.但是我要告诉你们,他们是相当的害怕.
  
  
  
  Why?
  
  为什么?
  
  Let me be plain and blunt. The “unexpected developments” Bernanke referred to is the collapse of the global banks. This is FED speak and to those in the loop, this is the dire warning.
  
  让我摊平来说.那些伯南可说的不希望的发展指的是美全球性银行的崩溃.这是美联储不断重复的,这是非常可怕的警告.
  
  So many renowned economists have misdiagnosed the objective and consequences of quantitative easing. Central bankers’ scribes and the global mass media hoodwinked the people by saying that QE will enable the banks to lend monies to cash-starved companies and jump start the economy. The low interest rate regime would encourage all and sundry to borrow, consume and invest.
  
  很多有名的经济学者错误判断量化宽松的目标和结果,中央银行官员门和媒体们蒙骗人们说量化宽松能够使银行向那些缺乏现金的企业贷款,并且重新启动经济发展。低利率能刺激社会借贷,消费和投资。
  
  
  
  This was the fairy tale.
  
  这简直是神话故事。
  
  
  
  Then, there were some economists who were worried that as a result of the FED’s printing press (electronic or otherwise) working overtime, hyper-inflation would set in soon after.
  
  然后,有一些经济学者很担心美联储日夜不停的印钞票,(包括通过电子等多种渠道)将导致恶性通货很快到来。
  
  
  
  But nothing happened. The multiplier effect of fractional reserve banking did not take off. Bank lending in fact stalled.
  
  但是什么也没有发生。储备银行的乘数效应并没有发生。银行贷款停滞不前。
  
  
  
  Why?
  
  为什么?(都跑中国了吗?)
  
  What happened?
  
  发生了什么?
  
  
  
  Let me explain in simple terms step by step.
  
  让我用简单的理论一步一步地阐述.
  
  1) All the global banks were up to their eye-balls in toxic assets. All the AAA mortgage-backed securities etc. were in fact JUNK. But in the balance sheets of the banks and their special purpose vehicles (SPVs), they were stated to be worth US$ TRILLIONS.
  
  1)所有全球银行不断增加他们的有毒资产.所有的AAA级抵押债券等等,实际上是垃圾.但是在银行的资产负责表上和他们的SPVS上,它们被标注为价值万亿.
  
  2) The collapse of Lehman Bros and AIG exposed this ugly truth. All the global banks had liabilities in the US$ Trillions. They were all INSOLVENT. The central banks the world over conspired and agreed not to reveal the total liabilities of the global banks as that would cause a run _disibledevent="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left>雷曼和AIG的倒闭暴露了这些丑陋的现实.所有全球性银行有万亿的负债.他们都已经成僵死了.全球的中央银行达成协议不披露全球性银行的总负债.否则那将导致英国北石那样的挤兑事件.
  
  3) A devious scheme was devised by the FED, led by Bernanke to assist the global banks to unload systematically and in tranches the toxic assets so as to allow the banks to comply with RESERVE REQUIREMENTS under the fractional reserve banking system, and to continue their banking business. This is the essence of the bailout of the global banks by central bankers.
  
  一个迂回的计划被美联储实施,伯南科领导,帮助全球性银行系统的卸载部分有毒资产,以至于银行达到储备银行系统要求的储备标准.从而继续它们的银行业务. 这是全球中央银行家的银行救助的本质
  
  4) This devious scheme was effected by the FED’s quantitative easing (QE) – the purchase of toxic assets from the banks. The FED created “money out of thin air” and used that “money” to buy the toxic assets at face or book value from the banks, notwithstanding they were all junks and at the most, worth maybe ten cents to the dollar. Now, the FED is “loaded” with toxic assets _disibledevent="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left>这个丑陋的计划通过美联储的量化宽松实施,即从银行收购有毒资产.美联储凭空创造货币,然后用这些货币从银行收购那些只是在脸上或账面上标记价值的有毒资产.尽管他们全是垃圾,大部分只值10美分而已.现在,美联储收购了曾经是全球性银行的有毒资产.但是这些银行不能公布或承认这种状况.因此,这只是金融把戏而已.
  
  
  
  5) If we are to follow simple logic, the exercise would result in the global banks flushed with cash to enable them to lend to desperate consumers and cash-starved businesses. But the money did not go out as loans. Where did the money go?
  
  如果我们遵循简单的逻辑,这些动作将导致现金充斥全球银行,使他们能借钱给绝望的消费者和资金匮乏的企业。但这些钱并没有作为贷款放出去。钱哪里去了?
  
  6) It went back to the FED as reserves, and since the FED bought US$ trillions worth of toxic wastes, the “money” (it was merely book entries in the Fed’s books) that these global banks had were treated as “Excess Reserves”. This is a misnomer because it gave the ILLUSION that the banks are cash-rich and under the fractional reserve system would be able to lend out trillions worth of loans. But they did not. Why?
  
  这又回到作为储备的美联储,因为美联储购买万亿美元的有毒垃圾,这些“钱”(这是在美联储帐面记载)被这些全球性银行列为“超额储备”。这是用词不当,因为它给了错觉,以为银行现金丰富,在部分准备金制度下将能借出的数万亿美元贷款。但他们没有这样做。为什么?
  
  7) Because the global banks still have US$ trillions worth of toxic wastes in their balance sheets. They are still insolvent under the fractional reserve banking laws. The public must not be aware of this as otherwise, it would trigger a massive run _disibledevent="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left>因为这些全球性银行在他们的资产负责表上仍然有上万亿的有毒资产.在准备金制度下他们仍是破产的.公众并没有认识到这一点,否则,他们都会跑到银行里了!
  
  8) Bernanke, the US Treasury and the global central bankers were all praying and hoping that given time (their estimation was 12 to 18 months) the housing market would recover and asset prices would resume to the levels before the crisis. .
  
  伯南科,美国财政部和全球中央银行家们都在祈祷和希望在一定的时间(他们估计12-18个月)里房地产市场和资产价格能够恢复到危机前的水平.
  
  Let me explain: A House was sold for say US$500,000. Borrower has a mortgage of US$450,000 or more. The house is now worth US$200,000 or less. Multiply this by the millions of houses sold between 2000 and 2008 and you will appreciate the extent of the financial black-hole. There is no way that any of the global banks can get out of this gigantic mess. And there is also no way that the FED and the global central bankers through QE can continue to buy such toxic wastes without showing their hands and exposing the lie that these banks are solvent.
  
  让我解释一下:一套房子卖价50万,借款者能贷到45万或更多.现在房子值20万或更少. 2000-2008年上百万房子被出售,现在都是上述情况,你可以算算那么金融黑洞有多深.任何全球性银行都没有办法解决这样的麻烦.并且美联储继续通过量化宽松收购那些有毒资产不漏出马脚和暴露这些银行破产的谎言也是不可能的.
  
  
  
  It is my estimation that they have to QE up to US$20 trillion at the minimum. The FED and no central banker would dare “create such an amount of money out of thin air” without arousing the suspicions and or panic of sovereign creditors, investors and depositors. It is as good as declaring officially that all the banks are BANKRUPT.
  
  我估计他们不得不最少注入20万亿美元.美联储和非中央银行家敢凭空创造如此多的钱一旦引起主权债务人,投资者,储户的猜疑和恐慌.这如同正式宣布所有的银行已经破产.
  
  9) But there is no other solution in the short and middle term except another bout of quantitative easing, QE II. Given the above caveat, QE II cannot exceed the amount of the previous QE without opening the proverbial Pandora Box.
  
  除了另外一批量化宽松,中短期内没有其他的解决方法.量化宽松第二季.鉴于上述警告,量化宽松第二季一旦超过第一季,那么就打开了著名的帕多拉盒子.
  
  10) But it is also a given that the FED will embark _disibledevent="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left>但是第二季量化宽松还是被美联储打上银行准备金制度的标签.假如美联储停止收买额外的有毒资产,全球性银行将会不能满足他们的准备金要求.
  
  11) You will also recall that the FED at the height of the crisis announced that interest will be paid _disibledevent="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left>你们会想起美联储在危机高峰时宣布将对全球性银行的所谓超额准备金支付利息,从而能使这些银行收获利息.因此我们有了金钱旋转木马,通过点击鼠标钱从右口袋转到了左口袋.美联储创造货币,用它们购买有毒资产,然后同样的钱别环球银行返回给美联储以得到利息.通过这种量化宽松小说,银行有了能产生利息的充足现金.不知道这些银行已经是否宣布利润创记录了?
  
  
  
  12) The global banks get rid of some of their toxic wastes at full value and at no costs, and get paid for unloading the toxic wastes via interest payments. Additionally, some of the “monies” are used by these banks to purchase US Treasuries (which also pay interests) which in turn allows the US Treasury to continue its deficit spending. THIS IS THE BAILOUT RIP OFF of the century.
  
  环球银行不费成本毫无费力的摆脱他们的一些有毒资产,卸载有毒资产通过利息支付得到支付.此外,有些”钱”被用作购买美国债券(仍然有利息)从而让美财政部继续赤字开支.这是世纪救助的真相.
  
  Now that you fully understand this SCAM, it is left to be seen how the FED will get away with the next round of quantitative easing – QE II.
  
  现在你充分理解了这个骗局,剩下的看看美联储如何摆脱接下来的量化宽松-即量化宽松第二季.
  
  Obviously, the FED and the other central banks are hoping that in time, asset prices will recover and resume their previous values before the crisis. This is a fantasy. QE II will fail just as QE I failed to save the banks.
  
  显然,美联储和其他央行希望资产价格能及时恢复危机前的水平.这只是个幻想而已.量化宽松第二季就像第一季没能挽救银行一样将会失败.
  
  The patient is in intensive care and is for all intent and purposes brain dead, although the heart is still pumping albeit faintly. The Too Big To Fail Banks cannot be rescued and must be allowed to be liquidated. It will be painful, but it is necessary before there is recovery. This is a given.
  
  脑已死亡病人还是在重症监护.尽管心脏还在微弱的跳动.太大而不能倒闭的银行不能别救出,并且必须得到清算.这将是痛苦的,但是这又是复苏前必须的.这是一定的.
  
  Warning:
  
  警告:
  
  When the ball hits the ceiling fan, sometime early 2011 at the earliest, there will be massive bank runs.
  
  当球打到吊扇,在2011年早些时候的某个时间,将会有大规模的银行挤兑.
  
  I expect that the FED and other central banks will pre-empt such a run and will do the following:
  
  我预计美联储和其他央行能在挤兑前先发制人并采取以下的做法:
  
  1) Disallow cash withdrawals from banks beyond a certain amount, say US$1,000 per day; 2) Disallow cash transactions up to a certain amount, say US$10,000 for certain transactions; 3) Transactions (investments) for metals (gold and silver) will be restricted; 4) Worst-case scenario – the confiscation of gold AS HAPPENED IN WORLD WAR II. 5) Imposition of capital controls etc.; 6) Legislations that will compel most daily commercial transactions to be conducted through Debit and or Credit Cards; 7) Legislations to make it a criminal offence for any contraventions of the above.
  
  1.禁止从银行超额取现,比如每天1000美元;2.不允许超额转款,比如每笔10000美元;3购买投资黄金白银将得到限制;4最坏的情况-二战时期的黄金充公;5资本征税控制等等;6立法强制商业交易通过借记卡或贷记卡执行;7对违反上述规定的订立刑法.
  
  Solution:
  
  结论:
  
  Maintain a bank balance sufficient to enable you to comply with the above potential impositions.
  
  保持充足银行存款以应对上述潜在的情况.
  
  Start diversifying your assets away from dollar assets. Have foreign currencies in sufficient quantities in those jurisdictions where the above anticipated impositions are least likely to be implemented.
  
  开始远离美元并资产多元化,持有司法有效区以外的外汇资产.
  
  CONCLUSION
  
  
  
  There will be a financial tsunami (round two) the likes of which the world has never seen.
  
  世界上史无前例的金融海啸(两轮)就在眼前.
  
  
  
  Global banks will collapse!
  
  全球性银行将崩溃
  
  Be ready.准备好
  

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楼主gerlff 时间:2010-09-06 21:19:09
  如此重要信息,没有人顶起码?
作者:近墨者痴 时间:2010-09-06 23:00:12
  什么玩意?作者何许人也?
  chang?什么背景?
作者:牧羊人亚伯 时间:2010-09-06 23:02:11
  楼主该吃药了。
作者:0贵在坚持0 时间:2010-09-21 15:05:55

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