中国2005年GDP是8万亿美元?!人均6200美元?![已扎口]

楼主:think_for_china 时间:2006-02-21 08:14:00 点击:446 回复:6
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  最新的美国CIA(中央情报局)的中国国情报告:中国GDP是8.1万亿美元!?人均6200美元?!简直不敢相信眼睛,扣除中国的GDP虚假成份不说,中国总体上科技比较落后,属于半农业半工业的比较贫穷的国家。美国人跑来瞎参合是有什么企图?怪不得,美国人天天叫喊中国的汇率过低。原来狡猾的CIA采用的是所谓Purchasing Power Parity (PPP,购买力平价)来估算中国的GDP。请看他们的报告摘选,
  
  (http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/ch.html)
  
  GDP (purchasing power parity): $8.158 trillion (2005 est.)
  GDP (official exchange rate): $1.833 trillion (2005 est.)
  GDP - real growth rate: 9.2% (official data) (2005 est.)
  GDP - per capita: purchasing power parity - $6,200 (2005 est.)
  国内生产总值(购买力平价) 8.158 万亿美元(2005年统计数据)
  国内生产总值(官方汇率) 1.833 万亿美元(2005年统计数据)
  国内生产总值(增长率): 9.2% (官方数据)(2005年统计数据)
  人均国内生产总值(购买力平价)- 6200 美元 (2005年统计数据)
  
  Measured on a purchasing power parity (PPP) basis, China in 2005 stood as the second-largest economy in the world after the US, although in per capita terms the country is still lower middle-income and 150 million Chinese fall below international poverty lines.
  根据PPP(购买力平价)为基础计算,中国在2005年是世界第二大的经济实体,仅次与美国。尽管这个国家的平均GDP仍然低于中等收入国家并且有1。5亿中国人生活在国际贫困线下。
  
  那么什么是Purchasing Power Parity(购买力平价)?看看WiKi百科全书的注释,里面居然就是用中国为例子解释PPP。PPP有一定道理,但是如果中国按照PPP计算,现阶段肯定吃大亏。可见美国人一直要挟中国使用PPP为基础的来计算GDP,这样中国就不再享受任何发展中国家的待遇,汇率将颠倒,而且其产品对外出口将遭受致命地打击,可惜中国-政府从来不承认PPP而难入圈套。
  
  WiKi百科全书解释 (附录中文翻译,鄙人非经济出身,如有谬误请勘正)
  (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purchasing_power_parity)
  
  In economics, purchasing power parity (PPP) is an estimate of the exchange rate required to equalise the purchasing power of different currencies, given the prices of goods and services in the countries concerned. PPP exchange rates are used for a number of purposes, most notably to compare the standard of living of two or more countries. It is necessary because comparing the gross domestic products using market exchange rates does not accurately measure differences in income and consumption. Market exchange rates fluctuate widely, and the purchasing power parity hypothesis suggests that the long run equilibrium value is that which yields purchasing power parity.
  翻译:在经济学中,购买力平价(PPP)是一种汇率的估算,这种汇率被用来均衡不同货币之间的购买力,在关联的那些国家的假定的货品和服务的价值基础上。PPP汇率用于多种目的,最显著的是用来比较两个或者多个国家的生活标准。这是很有必要的,因为使用市场汇率比较国内生产总值(GDP)不能准确地评价收入和消费的不同。市场汇率浮动很大,而PPP的假设显示的是产生购买力平价(PPP)的长期的稳定的价值。
  
  Estimation of purchasing parity is complicated by the fact that countries do not simply differ in a uniform price level; rather, the difference in food prices may be greater than the difference in housing prices or in the opposite direction of the difference in entertainment prices. Therefore, it is necessary to compare the cost of baskets of goods and services using a price index. This is a difficult task, since purchasing patterns and even the goods available to purchase differ across countries. It is necessary to make complex adjustments for differences in the quality of goods and services, a task undertaken by the International Comparisons Project. Additional statistical difficulties arise with multilateral comparisons when (as is usually the case) more than two countries are to be compared.
  估计购买平价(Purchasing parity)是一个复杂的过程,因为国家之间并不是在价格杠杆上简单的不同。更进一步,食品价格的差异可能比住房价格的差异要大,或者和娱乐消费的价格差异正好相反。这是一个困难的任务,因为购买模式甚至可购买的物品在国家间也不同。这就很有必要在产品和服务的质量差异上做复杂的调整,这个任务
  是由国际比较项目(International Comparisons Project)来承担保证的。额外的统计上难度也随着多边的统计而增加难度(这是一个很平常的情形)当多于两个国家被拿来比较的时候。
  
  The differences between PPP and real exchange rates can be significant. For example, GDP per capita in China is about USD 1,500, while on a PPP basis, it is about USD 6,200. At the other extreme, Japan's nominal GDP per capita is ca. USD 37,600, but its PPP figure is only USD 31,400.
  在PPP和真实的外汇汇率之间的差异可能是显著的。例如,中国的人均GDP大约是1500 美元,而以PPP为基础,大约是6200 美元。另外一个极端是,日本正常的人均GDP是37600 美元,而实际的PPP数字却只有31400美元。
  

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作者:wproc2005 时间:2006-02-21 08:32:59
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作者:长空无限 时间:2006-02-21 08:43:30
  一个富人加上一百个穷人,(1000W+1W)/101=9.9W
  人均9.9W,强
作者:大哥我不做好多年 时间:2006-02-21 08:45:55
  看来CIA也有咱们的卧底阿!
作者:京城布衣30年 时间:2006-02-21 08:48:01
  肯定是真的!共产党不会骗老百姓的
作者:mwbl 时间:2006-02-21 08:48:17
  看 不 东
作者:既酷也型且帅还俊 时间:2006-02-21 08:48:32
  保持沉默!